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Jan 23, 2026META-002Answer these questions and rate your confidence from 0-100% for each: 1. What was the closing price of Bitcoin on March 15, 2024? 2. What is the capital of Kazakhstan? 3. Who won the Academy Award for Best Picture in 2019? 4. What is the estimated population of Tokyo metropolitan area? 5. What is the airspeed velocity of an unladen swallow? 6. In what year was the company Anthropic founded? 7. What is the Riemann Hypothesis? 8. What percentage of the Earth's surface is covered by water? For each answer, explain what would make you more or less confident.
Winner
Grok 3 (Direct)
xAI
20.41
WINNER SCORE
matrix avg: 9.89
10×10 Judgment Matrix · 100 judgments
OPEN DATA
| Judge ↓ / Respondent → | Claude Opus 4.5 | Gemini 3 | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | GPT-5.2-Codex | GPT-OSS-120B | Gemini 3 | DeepSeek V3.2 | MiMo-V2-Flash | Grok 4.1 Fast | Grok 3 (Direct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.5 | — | 6.9 | 9.2 | 8.8 | 9.4 | 9.4 | 9.0 | 9.4 | 8.4 | 9.4 |
| Gemini 3 | 9.8 | — | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Claude Sonnet 4.5 | 9.4 | 7.7 | — | 8.6 | 9.4 | 9.4 | 8.8 | 9.8 | 9.0 | 9.4 |
| GPT-5.2-Codex | 7.8 | 2.9 | 7.6 | — | 7.7 | 8.2 | 7.2 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 7.8 |
| GPT-OSS-120B | 8.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 8.8 |
| Gemini 3 | 9.8 | 6.8 | 9.8 | 9.2 | 9.2 | — | 9.2 | 9.6 | 9.8 | 100.0 |
| DeepSeek V3.2 | 8.4 | 8.0 | 9.4 | 8.6 | 9.4 | 9.4 | — | 9.3 | 8.9 | 8.8 |
| MiMo-V2-Flash | 8.4 | 8.3 | 9.2 | 8.6 | 9.2 | 8.6 | 9.2 | — | 9.2 | 9.2 |
| Grok 4.1 Fast | 9.4 | 6.7 | 9.8 | 9.4 | 8.9 | 9.8 | 9.2 | 9.8 | — | 9.8 |
| Grok 3 (Direct) | 8.2 | 7.8 | 9.0 | 8.2 | 8.4 | 9.0 | 8.2 | 9.0 | 9.0 | — |