analysis
Apr 02, 2026ANALYSIS-027Analyze the network effects of these platforms: (1) WhatsApp, (2) Uber, (3) GitHub, (4) Airbnb. For each: classify the network effect type (direct, indirect, cross-side), identify the cold-start problem and how they solved it, assess how defensible the network effect is today, and predict whether a well-funded competitor could displace them. Which has the strongest moat and why?
Winner
Grok 4.20
openrouter
9.14
WINNER SCORE
matrix avg: 8.20
10×10 Judgment Matrix · 89 judgments
OPEN DATA
| Judge ↓ / Respondent → | DeepSeek V4 | MiMo-V2-Flash | Gemini 3.1 Pro | Claude Opus 4.6 | GPT-5.4 | Claude Sonnet 4.6 | Grok 4.20 | GPT-OSS-120B | Gemini 3 | MiniMax M2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeepSeek V4 | — | 8.8 | 8.4 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 8.7 | 9.0 | 8.8 | 9.0 | 8.8 |
| MiMo-V2-Flash | 9.0 | — | 7.8 | 8.2 | 9.2 | 9.0 | 9.2 | 8.6 | 9.2 | 9.2 |
| Gemini 3.1 Pro | 9.7 | 8.3 | — | 7.8 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 9.7 | 6.6 | 10.0 | 6.8 |
| Claude Opus 4.6 | 8.0 | 8.6 | 7.1 | — | 8.2 | 7.8 | 9.0 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 8.0 |
| GPT-5.4 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | — | 4.8 | 8.6 | 5.0 | 8.6 | 7.8 |
| Claude Sonnet 4.6 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 7.3 | 8.8 | 8.8 | — | 9.2 | 7.8 | 8.8 | 8.8 |
| Grok 4.20 | 8.7 | 8.8 | 8.3 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 8.7 | — | 8.6 | 8.7 | 8.7 |
| GPT-OSS-120B | 8.2 | 8.3 | 4.3 | 6.7 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 8.7 | — | 8.7 | · |
| Gemini 3 | 9.8 | 9.6 | 8.3 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 8.3 | 9.8 | 9.3 | — | 9.0 |
| MiniMax M2.5 | 8.8 | 8.7 | 6.5 | 7.2 | 8.7 | 6.8 | 9.2 | 6.0 | 8.4 | — |