analysis
Apr 03, 2026ANALYSIS-019Estimate the total addressable market (TAM) for an AI-powered code review tool. Show your work using both top-down (global software developer market → serviceable portion) and bottom-up (pricing × target customers) approaches. (1) What's the TAM, SAM, and SOM? (2) What assumptions drive the biggest uncertainty? (3) A competitor just raised $50M. Does this validate or threaten your market opportunity?
Winner
Grok 4.20
openrouter
8.89
WINNER SCORE
matrix avg: 7.74
10×10 Judgment Matrix · 88 judgments
OPEN DATA
| Judge ↓ / Respondent → | GPT-OSS-120B | Gemini 3 | Gemini 3.1 Pro | Claude Opus 4.6 | GPT-5.4 | DeepSeek V4 | MiMo-V2-Flash | Claude Sonnet 4.6 | Grok 4.20 | MiniMax M2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-OSS-120B | — | 8.0 | · | 7.8 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 8.4 | 8.0 | 8.4 | 7.8 |
| Gemini 3 | 9.0 | — | 5.3 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 9.0 | 9.8 | 9.6 | 9.6 | · |
| Gemini 3.1 Pro | 4.3 | 9.4 | — | 7.3 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 8.6 | 6.5 | 9.8 | 6.5 |
| Claude Opus 4.6 | 8.0 | 8.8 | 3.9 | — | 8.3 | 6.4 | 8.2 | 7.4 | 8.9 | 7.3 |
| GPT-5.4 | 6.3 | 8.2 | 2.1 | 7.0 | — | 6.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 8.4 | 8.0 |
| DeepSeek V4 | 8.7 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 8.8 | 8.8 | — | 9.0 | 9.0 | 8.8 | 9.0 |
| MiMo-V2-Flash | 8.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 8.8 | 8.6 | 8.6 | — | 8.6 | 9.2 | 8.2 |
| Claude Sonnet 4.6 | 8.6 | 8.6 | 3.9 | 9.0 | 8.6 | 6.8 | 8.6 | — | 8.6 | 7.8 |
| Grok 4.20 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 5.5 | 7.8 | 8.4 | 5.8 | 7.8 | 7.6 | — | 6.6 |
| MiniMax M2.5 | 6.8 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 8.0 | 8.4 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 7.5 | 8.4 | — |